International Cotton Market: Cotton Production, Purchase And Sale In African Cotton Producing Countries
坦桑尼亚-本年度该国产量预计达到14万吨,是该国历史最大产量之一,大约为上一年度产量的两倍。由于当地轧花厂普遍存在资金紧张的问题,所以整个年度的籽棉价格一直很稳定。
大约75%的皮棉已经出售给了棉商们和印度纺织厂。达累斯赛拉姆装运港拥堵问题已经导致了一些已售合同的毁约,预计这将使得市场上的可售数量有所增加。但是出口商们还并不打算降低报价水平。新花播种工作已经在几个主要的产棉区开始,根据初次预测,新花产量预计将再次达到14万吨。
津巴布韦-干旱加之二次生长期导致该国产量只有极少的10万吨;比原先预计减少了25%。津巴布韦国内经济处于崩盘同时伴随通货膨胀,但这似乎并没有过多影响到棉农种植棉花的积极性。预计明年的产量将是16万吨。但这主要取决于出口商/轧花厂是否愿意投入足够的资金。播种在一些地区已经开始,最迟应该在2009年1月中旬结束。
赞比亚-强降雨使得最初期望今年高产的愿望破灭,4万吨这一总产量仅仅比上一年度高了一点点,但远低于06/07年度的7万吨总产量。明年预计产量将达到06/07年的水平,这是因为棉农对目前市场上籽棉主流收购价格比较满意。良好的需求支撑明年高产的预期。
乌干达-相比令人失望的07/08年度的1.2万吨总产量,预计今年新棉产量高达3万吨。采摘工作已经全面开展,但政府颁布的最低籽棉收购价格对轧花厂来说有点过高,那也使得轧花厂目前还没有大规模收购。
At present, the parties are working hard to solve this embarrassing situation, and the first shipment time will be delayed before the solution is completely resolved.
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