Focus On The Strong Sound Of Exploration At The 2008 CSSA Joint Annual Meeting

"At this stage, confidence is also an important resource. Confidence is valuable. Opportunity and confidence come together, because confidence comes from wisdom. " Du Yuzhou, President of China Textile Industry Association, held the 2008 joint annual meeting of men's wear, women's wear, children's wear, underwear and accessories of China Garment Association and Summit Forum of China's garment industry held in Wuxi, Jiangsu Province on November 7. Du Yuzhou, President of China Textile Industry Association and President of China Garment Association, attended the meeting and delivered an important speech. Jiang Hengjie, executive vice president of China Garment Association, summarized the meeting. Li rugang, chairman of Youngor Clothing Co., Ltd., Gao Zhiwei, chairman of Hanbo (International) Group Co., Ltd., Zhou Mingjiang, chairman of Hongdou Industry Co., Ltd., Xia Guoxin, chairman of GELIS clothing company, and Zuo Xiaolei, chief economist of galaxy securities, respectively expressed their views on the development trend, difficulties and solutions of the current textile and garment industry. What kind of color will China's textile and garment industry present in the future? In the end, how long will the "pain" in our body completely fade away? At this time, we should listen carefully to the words of Du Yuzhou, President of China Textile Industry Association, who said: "when the difficulties will pass, we should not go to" fortune telling ", but rely on ourselves to assess the situation, rely on scientific analysis and prediction, and rely on our existing strength to develop our creativity." As a result, there was such a gathering and dialogue among Chinese garment people. there is no written speech in advance, some are just from the bottom of my heart to explore and encourage each other. They talk about "Hope", they do not evade the topic of "risk", they give a variety of models in practice, they also use a pair of rational eyes to examine the various emotions surging in the industry. rational and emotional, I believe this is the most real color of China's textile and clothing industry in the future. Du Yuzhou president of China Textile Industry Association and President of China clothing association. Scientific analysis and firm confidence. We should learn how to rationally allocate material, capital, technology and human resources. It is necessary to combine industry with research abroad. reproduction of the original voice: on the current situation of the textile industry, I would like to make three points of view: first, the situation is grim. At the same time, the general trend of China's textile industry to transform its development mode and build a textile power has not changed, and it is likely to accelerate. Since the beginning of the new century, China's textile industry has been maintaining rapid development. In the first seven years, our production, quality and efficiency have been developing at a high speed. At the same time, 2008 is the most difficult year for us since the new century. now we are in a critical period of industrial upgrading and the implementation of the scientific outlook on development. Coupled with the external financial crisis, the pain in the transition period is very obvious. Due to the upgrading and adjustment of the whole national economy, the appreciation of RMB, the increase of bank interest rate and the tightening of currency will have a great impact. 99.4% of the industries are small and medium-sized enterprises. After the monetary tightening, SMEs are mainly affected. Of course, there are also some large enterprises. In 2008, there are three unfavorable factors, namely, the downward adjustment of RMB and tax rebate rate, and the downturn of the domestic and international capital market. These factors showed some performance in the second half of 2007 and outstanding in the first half of 2008. In August, we specially analyzed the structure of the whole industry. Although the growth trend of the whole industry is good and unchanged, the "good" is divided into two levels. In August last year, the average profit margin was 3.97%. it's higher than in the past. However, we find that in one third of enterprises, employees account for 64% and total profits account for 89.2%; for two thirds of enterprises, employees account for 68% and total profits account for 10.8%. One third of the enterprises have an average profit margin of 8.47%, and two thirds of the enterprises account for 0.74%. There were more than 7500 loss making enterprises, with a loss of 11.6 billion. On the one hand, we should continue to promote scientific and technological progress, brand management, marketing and internationalization, on the other hand, we should increase the work of two-thirds of enterprises, including industrial cluster work, increase public services, and start to study industrial macro policies. Now the state has adjusted the export tax rebate rate twice, from 5% to 14%, and some enterprises have begun to revive. from January to August, we can see that: first, the industry's overall response to the new crisis, the overall production of sustainable development, a third of the enterprises reflect our large-scale technological transformation, intellectual property, independent research and development technology and projects have been better promoted. Obviously, the development of technology has become the best way to deal with the financial crisis. As for the brand, the cultivation and development of our own brand has significantly improved the competitiveness of our industry. For example, export processing structure began to decrease. The quality of production factors has been improved, and the quality of staff, management, marketing and design teams has also been improved. The introduction of overseas experts and the improvement of the quality of the team have made rapid progress. Therefore, the pace of industrial upgrading continues to maintain, and the momentum is more sufficient. it is not easy for the second or two-thirds of the enterprises to reach the present level. They are the majority of enterprises and the main body of employment. We can see that if two thirds of enterprises have difficulties, the sense of responsibility for promoting the industry should be stronger. third, after our analysis, we get: the quality of an enterprise is not determined by its size, but by whether it has innovation. Is innovation the core of your competitiveness? We rely on technology rather than the number of people to create value; it is a change from quantity to quality. The per capita value created by the whole industry is 9800 yuan. One third of the enterprises create 24800 yuan per capita, and two thirds are 1600 yuan. Fourthly, from the point of view of the main business and the sideline business, from the data analysis, the growth momentum of the main business has not decreased. The essence of doing a good job in the main business is to pay attention to the technology, brand, management mode and improve the quality of labor force. We must do a good job in the main business. Secondly, scientific analysis and firm confidence. We should learn how to allocate resources and how to allocate material, capital, technology and human resources. I think confidence is also an important resource. Confidence is valuable. Because wisdom comes from confidence, we should strengthen confidence, realize that crisis and opportunity coexist, and eliminate fear. The financial crisis heralded changes in the United States, which used to use energy extensively and loosen credit excessively. This time, the international community is coordinating policies among countries to jointly deal with the financial crisis. The end of the financial crisis will promote a new international order. China's fundamentals are good. The adjustment of industrial structure, the promotion of reform and opening up, five overall plans, comprehensive and coordinated sustainable development, and the scientific outlook on development have been further implemented. This crisis has intensified the pain of our industrial structure. The long-term pain is better than the short-term pain. We believe that the central government will assess the situation and adopt fiscal policy, monetary policy, rural policy, urbanization policy, etc., and these policy effects will be gradually reflected. There is a misconception that our comparative advantage is disappearing. Comparative advantage is the concept of opportunity cost. Comparative advantage is not static, but is improving. There is a lot of room for our comparative advantage to improve, and the structure of comparative advantage is adjusting. in addition, we should pay attention to technological progress. First, we should combine production, teaching and research, second, industrial chain, and third, we should combine domestic and foreign countries. The advantage of late development is to build on knowledge economy and network economy. The professional committee should study the quality of clothing. The downstream should pay attention to the upstream and the upstream should pay attention to the downstream. Not only the quality of sewing, but also the quality of function, saving resources. Expand domestic and foreign sales. Pay attention to sales, not only technology, but also cultural taste. All of these "informatization" projects are very urgent and well performed. Jiang Hengjie executive vice president of China clothing association view sketch: ; we should not only eat the cake of manufacturing industry, but also the cake of circulation field and creative industry. ; we should learn to explore ideas from the aesthetic point of view, functionality, physical health and other aspects, and look for innovation points from the aspects of humanistic care, fashion creativity and brand guidance. The global integration of resources inside and outside the industry is a new innovation point of the clothing industry. sound reproduction: quality, innovation, rapid response and social responsibility are the development trends of strong enterprises and brand enterprises. At the same time, we will not only face the problem of "cake making", but also "eating cake" in China. first, we should face the reality, clarify our thinking and highlight the key points. The focus of work must be first unified on how to avoid the contradiction of homogenization. From the perspective of health and creativity, we should explore more creative and creative ways of life from the perspective of health and creativity. Secondly, we should advocate green industrial chain. Close integration of upstream and downstream relations to create a large textile industry ecological chain. We should pay attention to the core advantage of outsourcing and take advantage of the brand. We should excavate the profit point of Commerce and realize the maximization of the ultimate value of clothing goods. Thirdly, it is necessary to strengthen the in-depth study of diversification and internationalization. World economic integration is an inevitable trend. We should have an inclusive mind, and we should not be one-sided "bring in doctrine". We should form a consensus in the exchange, summarize the ways of cooperation, and form a good cooperation atmosphere. Fourthly, "integration" is a kind of value innovation. The global integration of resources inside and outside the industry is a new innovation point of clothing industry. To actively explore the brand development route, find their own position, ready to integrate or be integrated at any time. Of course, good reputation is needed. Courage and courage are needed. Therefore, we must first have profound thinking, then we can make profound choices. Fifthly, we should advocate independent innovation, encourage the development of Chinese original brands and be proud of Chinese brands. Zuo Xiaolei chief economist of Galaxy Securities view sketch: ; maintaining growth should ensure "stable" growth, and the range of policies to ensure growth should be within 8% to 11.9%. Domestic demand includes investment and consumption. We tend to drive investment through the growth of consumption. To maintain growth, we should ensure the growth of small and medium-sized enterprises and ensure the normal level of employment. reproduction of the original sound: we are facing three problems: Question 1: what level of economic growth should be maintained? Question 2: should the economy maintain its growth rate through large-scale investment? Question 3: what kind of export is meaningful to maintain growth in the context of declining external demand? to maintain growth, we should ensure steady growth. At present, the growth rate of 11.9% should not be maintained. The NPC and CPPCC have given an 8% growth target, which is a guiding growth indicator. China's normal economic level should not be less than 8%. Then, the policy range of maintaining growth should be between 8% and 11.9%. With the decline of foreign demand and the change of surplus, economic growth will correspondingly decline. From this expectation, our economic growth will also tend to be stable. The structural adjustment of export industry, the new industry has not yet been upgraded in place, and the economic growth will slow down. Falling corporate profits will slow down the economy. This year, the average profit of enterprises is 20.2%, which is very high in the world, and the profit level should adapt to the level of economic growth. Last year's profit level has a lot of non recurring income, so it can not be used as a reference. The lack of marketization of factor prices has resulted in higher profits. Therefore, this year's decline in profits is a return and a normal phenomenon. to maintain growth, we should make great efforts to protect domestic demand. So we don't need to shift the will to keep our economy going down. In recent years, through the financial market to attract large capital inflows to promote consumption, the U.S. mode of borrowing money from the world will gradually change. In addition to maintaining the export of basic industries, maintaining the steady growth of China's economy should not greatly protect external demand, which is not what we can guarantee. Therefore, maintaining economic growth should change from external demand to domestic demand. Domestic demand includes investment and consumption. We tend to promote economic growth by stimulating investment through the growth of consumption. General consumption is closely connected with the consumption growth of low-income groups. To increase their consumption, the most direct way is to increase the purchase price of grain, which should be higher than that of means of production. According to the needs of different types of people, we should promote the consumption of urban population by increasing the consumption of service industry. In addition, finance should support the development of livelihood industries